economics

Back in May, when Covid was kicking into gear in the US, I did the exercise of making base-line predictions for the upcoming months using the back of the envelope math and trying to factor in how politics, the economy, and Covid would interplay with each other. I left it posted (of course) and you can see it here: Map of the future 2020 . More than anything, it was an exercise it trying to stomach what we were going into.

This document was written on May 4th, 2020

This is a predictive roadmap, with a lot of guesswork in it. It is fairly USA-centric, but will glance at some other locations I am forming opinions about as well.